Calculating Probabilities of Environmental Extremes (15 June 2021)

Graphic showing air pollution from vehicle and factory emissions

Published 15 June 2021

Environmental researchers often encounter the problem of determining the probability of extreme events marked by exceedance of a high threshold of a variable of interest such as rainfall or air pollution. However, the available data may consist of observations that are much smaller than the threshold. This generic problem was addressed by Dr. Saumyadipta Pyne and his collaborators at University of Maryland and NASA in their study, On the Probabilities of Environmental Extremes (in preprint) was published in the International Journal of Statistics in Medical Research (2021).

Image courtesy:  NASA