Fox G, von Laszewski G, Wang F, Pyne S. "AICov: An Integrative Deep Learning Framework for COVID-19 Forecasting with Population Covariates", J. data sci. 19(2021), no. 2, 293-313, DOI 10.6339/21-JDS1007.

Gharani P, Ray S, Aruru M, Pyne S. "Differential Patterns of Social Media Use Associated with Loneliness and Health Outcomes in Selected Socioeconomic Groups." J Technol Behav Sci. 2021 May 14:1-10. doi:10.1007/s41347-021-00208-4. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 34027034; PMCID: PMC8121492.

Kedem B, Stauffer R, Zhang X, Pyne S. "On the Probabilities of Environmental Extremes."  doi:

Kedem B, Pyne S. "Estimation of Tail Probabilities by Repeated Augmented Reality." J Stat Theory Pract 15, 25 (2021).

Kumaran K, Krishnaveni GV, Suryanarayana KG, et al. "Protocol for a cluster randomised trial evaluating a multifaceted intervention starting preconceptionally—Early Interventions to Support Trajectories for Healthy Life in India." (EINSTEIN): a Healthy Life Trajectories Initiative (HeLTI) Study. BMJ Open 2021;11:e045862. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-045862.

Krauland M K,Galloway D D,Raviotta J M,Zimmerman R K,Roberts M S. "Agent-based Investigation of the Impact of Low Rates of Influenza on Next Season Influenza Infections."

Lee K,Jalal H,Raviotta J M,Krauland M G,Zimmerman R K,Burke D S,Roberts M S. "Predicting the impact of low influenza activity in 2020 on population immunity and future influenza season in the United States."
Nielsen F, Marti G, Ray S, Pyne S. "Clustering Patterns Connecting COVID-19 Dynamics and Human Mobility Using Optimal Transport." Sankhya B (2008). 2021 Mar 16:1-18. doi: 10.1007/s13571-021-00255-0. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 33746458; PMCID: PMC7961163.
Quandelacy T M, Zimmer S,Lessler J, Vukotich C, Bieltz R,Grantz K H, Galloway D,Read J M,Zheteyeva Y,Gao H,Uzicanin A,Cummings D A T. "Predicting virologically confirmed influenza using school absences in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania, USA during the 2007-2015 influenza seasons." 2120.09.03.
Stacy S, Chandra H, Gurewitsch R, Brink L, Robertson L, Wilson D, Yuan J, Pyne S. "Rescaling and Small Area Estimation of Health Survey Data as applied to Smoking Rates in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania." medRxiv 2021.03.21.21254074. doi:
Zhang X, Pyne S, Kedem B. "Multivariate Tail Probabilities: Predicting Regional Pertussis Cases in Washington State." Entropy (Basel). 2021 May 27;23(6):675. doi: 10.3390/e23060675. PMID: 34072055; PMCID: PMC8226468.

Das S, Ghosh P, Sen B, Pyne S, Mukhopadhyay I. "Critical Community Size for COVID-19: A Model Based Approach for Strategic Lockdown Policy." Statistics and Applications {ISSN 2452-7395(online)}. Volume 18, No. 1, 2020 (New Series), pp 181-196.

Gurewitsch R, Aruru M, Goovaerts P, Pyne S. "Spatial modeling of lead water contamination risk in local communities of Pittsburgh, PA." APHA's 2020 VIRTUAL Annual Meeting and Expo (Oct. 24 - 28).

Maleki M, McLachlan G, Gurewitsch R, Aruru M, Pyne S. "A Mixture of Regressions Model of COVID-19 Death Rates and Population Comorbidities." Statistics and Applications {ISSN 2452-7395 (online)}. Volume 18, No. 1, 2020 (New Series), pp 295-306.

Qi Y, Fang Y, Sinclair DR, Guo S, Alberich-Jorda M, Lu J, Tenen DG, Kharas MG, Pyne S. "High-speed automatic characterization of rare events in flow cytometric data." PLoS One. 2020 Feb 11;15(2):e0228651. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0228651. PMID: 32045462; PMCID: PMC7012421.

Zhang X, Pyne S, Kedem B. "Estimation of Residential Radon Concentration in Pennsylvania Counties by Data Fusion." Appl Stochastic Models Bus Ind. 2020. 36: 1094– 1110. doi:


Alarid-Escudero F, Enns EA, Kuntz KM, Michaud TL, Jalal H. "'Time Traveling Is Just Too Dangerous' but Some Methods Are Worth Revisiting: The Advantages of Expected Loss Curves Over Cost-Effectiveness Acceptability Curves and Frontier." Value Health. 2019;22(5):611-618. doi:10.1016/j.jval.2019.02.008.

Haw DJ, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Salje H, Read JM, Riley S. "Differential mobility and local variation in infection attack rate." PLoS Comput Biol. 2019 Jan 22;15(1):e1006600. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006600.

Jutkowitz E, Alarid-Escudero F, Kuntz KM, Jalal H. "The Curve of Optimal Sample Size (COSS): A Graphical Representation of the Optimal Sample Size from a Value of Information Analysis." PharmacoEconomics. 2019 Feb 14:1-7. doi: 10.1007/s40273-019-00770-z.

McGowan CJ, Biggerstaff M, Johansson M, Apfeldorf KM, Ben-Nun M, Brooks L, Convertino M, Erraguntla M, Farrow DC, Freeze J, Ghosh S, Hyun S, Kandula S, Lega J, Liu Y, Michaud N, Morita H, Niemi J, Ramakrishnan N, Ray EL, Reich NG, Riley P, Shaman J, Tibshirani R, Vespignani A, Zhang Q, Reed C and The Influenza Forecasting Working Group. "Collaborative efforts to forecast seasonal influenza in the United States, 2015-2016." Sci Rep. 2019 Jan 24;9(1):683. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-36361-9.

Mendu VR, Perugu S, Manne M, Bolla R, Aruru M, Pyne S. "Nutrition Atlas of ICMR-National Institute of Nutrition: an informatics platform on nutrition in India." 2019. Statistics and Applications, 17(1): 209–219.

Pyne S, and Aruru M. "Antifungal resistance: Implications for Data Policy and Research." BLDE Univ. J. Health Sc., 4(1), 2019. DOI: 10.4103/bjhs.bjhs_23_19.  Accepted.

Qi Y, Fang Y, Sinclair DR, Guo S, Alberich-Jorda M, Lu J, Tenen DG, Kharas MG, Pyne S. 2019. "High-speed automatic characterization of rare events in flow cytometric data." bioRxiv doi: 10.1101/591644.

Reich NG, Brooks LC, Fox SJ, Kandula S, McGowan CJ, Moore E, Osthus D, Ray EL, Tushar A, Yamana TK, Biggerstaff M, Johansson MA, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J. "A collaborative multiyear, multimodel assessment of seasonal influenza forecasting in the United States." Proc Natl Acad Sci USA. 2019 Feb 19;116(8):3146-3154. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1812594116.

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Costa F, Nascimento EJM, Nery N, Castanha PMS, Sacramento GA, Cruz J, Carvalho M, De Olivera D, Hagan JE, Adhikarla H, Wunder EA Jr, Coelho DF, Azar SR, Rossi SL, Vasilakis N, Weaver SC, Ribeiro GS, Balmaseda A, Harris E, Nogueira ML, Reis MG, Marques ETA, Cummings DAT, Ko AI. "Impact of preexisting dengue immunity on Zika virus emergence in a dengue endemic region." Science. 2019 Feb 8;363(6427):607-610. doi: 10.1126/science.aav6618.

Sinclair DR, Grefenstette JJ, Krauland MG, Galloway DD, Frankeny RJ, Travis C, Burke DS, Roberts MR. "Forecasted size of measles outbreaks associated with vaccination exemptions for schoolchildren." JAMA Network Open, 2019;2(8):e199768. doi:10.100/jamanetworkopen.2019.9768.

Slavova S, Delcher C, Buchanich JM, Bunn TL, Goldberger BA, Costich JF. "Methodological Complexities in Quantifying Rates of Fatal Opioid-Related Overdose." Curr Epidemiol reports. 2019;6(2):263-274. doi:10.1007/s40471-019-00201-9.


Althouse BM, Guerbois M, Cummings DAT, Diop OM, Faye O, Faye A, Diallo D, Sadio BD, Sow A, Faye O, Sall AA, Diallo M, Benefit B, Simons E, Watts DM, Weaver SC, Hanley KA. "Role of monkeys in the sylvatic cycle of chikungunya virus in Senegal." Nature communications. 2018 March 13;9(1):1046. PubMed PMID: 29535306; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC5849707. doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-03332-7.

Aruru M, Pyne S. "Noncommunicable disease modeling and simulation as means of understanding childhood obesity and intervention effectiveness." BLDE Univ J Health Sci. 2018 June;3(1). DOI: 10.4103/bjhs.bjhs_8_18.

Ball JD, Elbadry MA, Telisma T, White SK, Chavannes S, Anilis MG, Prosperi M, Cummings DAT, Lednicky JA, Morris JG Jr, Beau de Rochars M. "Clinical and epidemiologic patterns of Chikungunya virus infection and coincident arboviral disease in a school cohort in Haiti, 2014-2015." Clin Infect Dis, 2018 Aug 31. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciy582.

Biggerstaff M, Johansson M, Alper D, Brooks LC, Chakraborty P, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Kandula S, McGowan C, Ramakrishnan N, Rosenfeld R, Shaman J, Tibshirani R, Tibshirani RJ, Vespignani A, Yang W, Zhang Q, Reed C. "Results from the second year of a collaborative effort to forecast influenza seasons in the United States." Epidemics. 2018 February 24. PubMed PMID: 29506911. doi: 10.1016/j.epidem.2018.02.003.

Brooks LC, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Rosenfeld R. "Nonmechanistic forecasts of seasonal influenza with iterative one-week-ahead distributions." PLoS Comput Biol. 2018 June 15; 14(6):e1006134. PMID:29906286. doi: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006134.

Buchanich JM, Balmert LC, Williams KE, Burke DS. "The effect of incomplete death certificates on estimates of unintentional opioid-related overdose deaths in the United States, 1999-2015." Public Health Rep. 2018 Jul/Aug;133(4):423-431. doi: 10.1177/0033354918774330.

Buchanich JM, Doerfler SM, Lann MF, Marsh GM, Burke DS. "Improvement in racial disparities in years of life lost in the USA since 1990." Olson DR, ed. PLoS One. 2018;13(4):e0194308. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0194308.

Chadsuthi S, Althouse BM, Iamsirithaworn S, Triampo W, Grantz KH, Cummings DAT. "Travel distance and human movement predict paths of emergence and spatial spread of chikungunya in Thailand." Epidemiology and Infection. 2018 Jul 9:1–9. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818001917.

Chung-Chou HC, Bryce, CL, Benjamin L.S, Yabes JG, Yen R, Zenarosa GL, Tomko H, Donnell DM, Squires RH, Roberts MS. "Accuracy of the Pediatric End-stage Liver Disease Score in Estimating Pretransplant Mortality Among Pediatric Liver Transplant Candidates." JAMA Pediatr. 17 Sep 2018. doi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2018.2541.

Dodson ZM, Enki Yoo EH, Martin-Gill C, Roth R. "Spatial Methods to Enhance Public Health Surveillance and Resource Deployment in the Opioid Epidemic." American Journal of Public Health. Published online before print July 19, 2018. PMID: 30024793. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2018.304524.

España G, Grefenstette J, Perkins A, Torres C, Campo Carey A, Diaz H, de la Hoz F, Burke DS, van Panhuis WG. "Exploring scenarios of chikungunya mitigation with a data-driven agent-based model of the 2014-2016 outbreak in Colombia." Sci Rep. 2018 Aug 15;8(1):12201. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-30647-8. PubMed PMID: 30111778.

Jalal H, Buchanich JM, Roberts MS, Balmert LC, Zhang K, Burke DS. "Changing dynamics of the drug overdose epidemic in the United States from 1979 through 2016." Science. 2018 Sep 21;361(6408). doi: 10.1126/science.aau1184.

Katzelnick LC, Coello Escoto A, McElvany BD, Chavez C, Salje H, Luo W, et al. (2018). "Viridot: An automated virus plaque (immunofocus) counter for the measurement of serological neutralizing responses with application to dengue virus." PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 12(10):e0006862. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006862.

Kraemer MUG, Cummings DAT, Funk S, Reiner Jr. RC, Faria NR, Pybus OG, Cauchemez S. (2018). "Reconstruction and prediction of viral disease epidemics." Epidemiol Infec. Nov 5:1–7. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818002881.

Kucharski AJ, Lessler J, Cummings DAT, Riley S. "Timescales of influenza A/H3N2 antibody dynamics." PLoS Biol. 2018 Aug 20;16(8):e2004974. eCollection 2018 Aug. PMID: 30125272. doi: 10.1371/journal.pbio.2004974.

Lauer SA, Sakrejda K, Ray EL, Keegan LT, Bi Q, Suangtho P, Hinjoy S, Iamsirithaworn S, Suthachana S, Laosiritaworn Y, Cummings DAT, Lessler J, Reich NG. "Prospective forecasts of annual dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence in Thailand, 2010-2014." Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. 2018 March 6;115(10):E2175-E2182. PubMed PMID: 29463757; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC5877997. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1714457115.

López‑García M, Aruru M, Pyne S. "Health analytics and disease modeling for better understanding of healthcare‑associated infections." BLDE Univ J. Health Sci. 2018 Dec; 3:69-74. DOI: 10.4103/bjhs.bjhs_36_18.

Paternina-Caicedo A, Driessen J, Roberts M, van Panhuis WG. "Heterogeneity Between States in the Health and Economic Impact of Measles Immunization in the United States." Open Forum Infectious Diseases, 1 July 2018:5(7). doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofy137.

Prashant Raghav, Charu Verma. "International Symposium in New Delhi Addresses Emerging Challenges in Health Analytics and Disease Modeling." Science Reporter, June 2018, p. 49-50.

Ray S, Joshi R. "International Workshop for Building Disease-modeling Capacity in India: A Report." Visleshana. 2018 April-June; Vol 2, No 3.

Smith MK, Graham M, Latkin CA, Mehta SH, Cummings DAT. "Quantifying potentially infectious sharing patterns among people who inject drugs in Baltimore, USA." Epidemiol Infect. 2018 Aug 2:1-9. [Epub ahead of print] PMID: 30070187. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818002042.

van Panhuis WG, Cross A, Burke DS. "Project Tycho 2.0: a repository to improve the integration and reuse of data for global population health." Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association, 2018 Oct 15. doi: 10.1093/jamia/ocy123.

Wesolowski A, Winter A,Tatem AJ, Qureshi T, Engø-Monsen K, Buckee CO, Cummings DAT, Metcalf CJE. "Measles outbreak risk in Pakistan: exploring the potential of combining vaccination coverage and incidence data with novel datastreams to strengthen control." Epidemiology and Infection. 2018 June 4:1–9. doi: 10.1017/S0950268818001449. PMID:29860954.

Woolf SH, Chapman DA, Buchanich JM, Bobby KJ, Zimmerman EB, Blackburn SM. "Changes in midlife death rates across racial and ethnic groups in the United States: systematic analysis of vital statistics." BMJ. 2018 Aug 15;362:k3096. PMID: 30111554. doi: 10.1136/bmj.k3096.


Brownwright TK, Dodson ZM, van Panhuis WG. "Spatial clustering of measles vaccination coverage among children in sub-Saharan Africa." BMC public health. 2017 December 15;17(1):957. PubMed PMID: 29246217; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC5732449. doi: 10.1186/s12889-017-4961-9.

Chhatwal J, Samur S, Kues B, Ayer T, Roberts MS, Kanwal F, Hur C, Donnell DM, Chung RT. "Optimal timing of hepatitis C treatment for patients on the liver transplant waiting list." Hepatology. 2017 Mar;65(3):777-788. doi: 10.1002/hep.28926.

Dodson ZM, Agadjanian V, Driessen J. "How to allocate limited healthcare resources: Lessons from the introduction of antiretroviral therapy in rural Mozambique." Appl Geogr. 2017 Jan;78:45-54. doi: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2016.11.001.

Farrow DC, Brooks LC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Burke DS, Rosenfeld R. "A human judgment approach to epidemiological forecasting." Alizon S, ed. PLoS Comput Biol. 2017;13(3):e1005248. doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1005248.

Grubaugh ND, Ladner JT, Kraemer MUG, Dudas G, Tan AL, Gangavarapu K, Wiley MR, White S, Thézé J, Magnani DM, Prieto K, Reyes D, Bingham AM, Paul LM, Robles-Sikisaka R, Oliveira G, Pronty D, Barcellona CM, Metsky HC, Baniecki ML, Barnes KG, Chak B, Freije CA, Gladden-Young A, Gnirke A, Luo C, MacInnis B, Matranga CB, Park DJ, Qu J, Schaffner SF, Tomkins-Tinch C, West KL, Winnicki SM, Wohl S, Yozwiak NL, Quick J, Fauver JR, Khan K, Brent SE, Reiner RC Jr, Lichtenberger PN, Ricciardi MJ, Bailey VK, Watkins DI, Cone MR, Kopp EW 4th, Hogan KN, Cannons AC, Jean R, Monaghan AJ, Garry RF, Loman NJ, Faria NR, Porcelli MC, Vasquez C, Nagle ER, Cummings DAT, Stanek D, Rambaut A, Sanchez-Lockhart M, Sabeti PC, Gillis LD, Michael SF, Bedford T, Pybus OG, Isern S, Palacios G, Andersen KG. "Genomic epidemiology reveals multiple introductions of Zika virus into the United States." Nature. 2017 June 15;546(7658):401-405. PubMed PMID: 28538723; PubMed Central PMCID: PMC5536180. doi: 10.1038/nature22400.

Jalal H, Alarid-Escudero F. "A Gaussian Approximation Approach for Value of Information Analysis." Med Decis Making. 2017 Jul 1:272989X17715627. doi: 10.1177/0272989X17715627.

Jalal H, Buchanich J, Balmert L, Roberts M, Burke D. (Featuring research from "Sub-epidemics within the opioid epidemic".) "Forecasting the opioid epidemic." The Economist, The Economist Newspaper. 2017 Oct 28.

Jalal H, Pechlivanoglou P, Krijkamp E, Alarid-Escudero F, Enns E, Hunink MGM. "An Overview of R in Health Decision Sciences." Med Decis Making. 2017 Oct; 37(7):735-746. doi: 10.1177/0272989X16686559.

Jalal H, Roberts M, Burke D. (Featuring research from "A dynamic transmission disease model of the opioid epidemic".) "The shifting toll of America's drug epidemic." The Economist, The Economist Newspaper. 2017 Oct 26.

Jarlenski M, Hogan C, Bogen DL, Chang JC, Bodnar LM, Van Nostrand E. "Characterization of U.S. State Laws Requiring Health Care Provider Reporting of Perinatal Substance Use." Womens Health Issues. 2017 May - Jun;27(3):264-270. doi: 10.1016/j.whi.2016.12.008.

Kabiri M, Chhatwal J, Donohue JM, Roberts MS, James AE, Dunn MA, Gellad WF. "Long-term disease and economic outcomes of prior authorization criteria for Hepatitis C treatment in Pennsylvania Medicaid." Healthc (Amst). 2017 Sep;5(3):105-111. doi:10.1016/j.hjdsi.2016.11.001.

Katzelnick LC, Harris E, Baric R, Coller BA, Coloma J, Crowe JE, Cummings DAT. "Immune correlates of protection for dengue: State of the art and research agenda." Vaccine. 2017 August 24;35(36):4659-4669. PubMed PMID: 28757058. PMCID: PMC5924688. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2017.07.045.

Kirsch TD, Moseson H, Massaquoi M, Nyenswah TB, Goodermote R, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Lessler J, Cummings DA, Peters DH. "Impact of interventions and the incidence of ebola virus disease in Liberia-implications for future epidemics." Health Policy Plan. 2017;32(2):205-214. doi:10.1093/heapol/czw113.

Samur S, Kues B, Ayer T, Roberts MS, Kanwal F, Hur C, Donnell DMS, Chung RT, Chhatwal J. "Cost Effectiveness of Pre- vs Post-Liver Transplant Hepatitis C Treatment With Direct-Acting Antivirals." Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2017 Jun 17. doi: 10.1016/j.cgh.2017.06.024.


Balmert LC, Buchanich JM, Pringle JL, Williams KE, Burke DS, Marsh GM. "Patterns and Trends in Accidental Poisoning Deaths: Pennsylvania's Experience 1979-2014." PLoS One. Public Library of Science; 2016 Jan 10;11(3):e0151655.

Buchanich JM, Balmert LC, Pringle JL, Williams KE, Burke DS, Marsh GM. "Patterns and trends in accidental poisoning death rates in the US, 1979-2014." Prev Med (Baltim). 2016 Apr 13.

Burke DS. "Forecasting the opioid epidemic." Science, 2016 Nov 4; 354(6312):529. DOI: 10.1126/science/aal2943.

Castanha PM, Braga C, Cordeiro MT, Souza AI, Silva CD Jr, Martelli CM, van Panhuis WG, Nascimento EJ, Marques ET. "Placental Transfer of Dengue Virus (DENV)-Specific Antibodies and Kinetics of DENV Infection-Enhancing Activity in Brazilian Infants." J Infect Dis. 2016 Jul 15;214(2):265-72. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiw143.

Chhatwal J, Wang X, Ayer T, Kabiri M, Chung RT, Hur C, Donohue JM, Roberts MS, Kanwal F. "Hepatitis C Disease Burden in the United States in the era of oral direct-acting antivirals." Hepatology. 2016 Nov;64(5):1442-1450. doi: 10.1002/hep.28571.

Dalziel BD, Bjørnstad ON, van Panhuis WG, Burke DS, Metcalf CJE, Grenfell BT. "Persistent Chaos of Measles Epidemics in the Prevaccination United States Caused by a Small Change in Seasonal Transmission Patterns." PLoS Comput Biol. 2016 Feb;12(2):e1004655.

Guclu H, Kumar S, Galloway D, Krauland M, Sood R, Bocour A, Hershey TB, van Nostrand E, Potter M. "An Agent-Based Model for Addressing the Impact of a Disaster on Access to Primary Care Services." Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2016 Jun;10(3):386-93. doi: 10.1017/dmp.2016.44.

He T, Li K, Roberts MS, Spaulding AC, Ayer T, Grefenstette JJ, et al. "Prevention of Hepatitis C by Screening and Treatment in U.S. Prisons." Ann Intern Med. 2016 Jan 19;164(2):84–92.

Hershey TB, Van Nostrand E, Sood RK, Potter M. "Legal Considerations for Health Care Practitioners After Superstorm Sandy." Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2016 Jun;10(3):518-24. doi: 10.1017/dmp.2016.33.

Lessler J, Chaisson LH, Kucirka LM, et al. "Assessing the global threat from Zika virus." Science. 2016 Aug 12;353(6300):aaf8160. doi:10.1126/science.aaf8160.

Lessler J, Cummings DAT. "Mechanistic Models of Infectious Disease and Their Impact on Public Health." Am J Epidemiol. 2016 Mar 1;183(5):415–22.

Lessler J, Salje H, Van Kerkhove MD, Ferguson NM, Cauchemez S, Rodriquez-Barraquer I, et al. "Estimating the Severity and Subclinical Burden of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus Infection in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia." Am J Epidemiol. 2016 Feb 4;183(7):657–63.

Metcalf CJE, Farrar J, Cutts FT, Basta NE, Graham AL, Lessler J, et al. "Use of serological surveys to generate key insights into the changing global landscape of infectious disease." Lancet (London, England). 2016 Apr 5.

Mochan-Keef E, Swigon D, Ermentrout GB, Clermont G. "A Three-Tiered Study of Differences in Murine Intrahost Immune Response to Multiple Pneumococcal Strains." PLoS One. 2015;10(8):e0134012.

Nisalak A, Clapham HE, Kalayanarooj S, Klungthong C, Thaisomboonsuk B, Fernandez S, et al. "Forty Years of Dengue Surveillance at a Tertiary Pediatric Hospital in Bangkok, Thailand," 1973-2012. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2016 Mar 28.

Poon LLM, Song T, Rosenfeld R, Lin X, Rogers MB, Zhou B, et al. "Quantifying influenza virus diversity and transmission in humans." Nat Genet. 2016 Jan 4;48(2):195–200.

Roberts MS. "The Next Chapter in Cost-effectiveness Analysis." JAMA. 2016 Sep 13;316(10):1049-50. doi: 10.1001/jama.2016.12844.

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Salje H, Cummings DAT. "Dengue Vaccine in Regions of Endemic Disease." N Engl J Med. 2016 Apr 7;374(14):1388.


Althouse BM, Hanley KA, Diallo M, Sall AA, Ba Y, Faye O, et al. "Impact of climate and mosquito vector abundance on sylvatic arbovirus circulation dynamics in Senegal." Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2015 Jan;92(1):88–97.

Braithwaite RS, Roberts MS. "Validation Is Necessary but Insufficient." Med Decis Making. 2015 Oct;35(7):815–6.

Brooks LC, Farrow DC, Hyun S, Tibshirani RJ, Rosenfeld R. "Flexible Modeling of Epidemics with an Empirical Bayes Framework." PLoS Comput Biol. 2015 Aug;11(8):e1004382.

Chhatwal J, Kanwal F, Roberts MS, Dunn MA. "Cost-Effectiveness and Budget Impact of Hepatitis C Virus Treatment With Sofosbuvir and Ledipasvir in the United States." Ann Intern Med. 2015 Mar 17;162(6):397–406.

Clapham H, Cummings DAT, Nisalak A, Kalayanarooj S, Thaisomboonsuk B, Klungthong C, et al. "Epidemiology of Infant Dengue Cases Illuminates Serotype-Specificity in the Interaction between Immunity and Disease, and Changes in Transmission Dynamics." PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2015 Dec;9(12):e0004262.

Farrow DC, Burke DS, Rosenfeld R. "Computational Characterization of Transient Strain-Transcending Immunity against Influenza A." PLoS One. 2015 Jan;10(5):e0125047.

Faye O, Boëlle P-Y, Heleze E, Faye O, Loucoubar C, Magassouba N, et al. "Chains of transmission and control of Ebola virus disease in Conakry, Guinea, in 2014: an observational study." Lancet Infect Dis. 2015 Jan 22.

Goldhaber-Fiebert JD, Jalal HJ. "Some Health States Are Better Than Others: Using Health State Rank Order to Improve Probabilistic Analyses." Med Decis Making. 2015 Sep 16.

Grim P, Singer DJ, Reade C, Fisher S. "Germs, Genes, and Memes: Function and Fitness Dynamics on Information Networks." Philos Sci. 2015;82(2):219–43.

Hershey TB, Pryde JA, Mwaungulu GS, Phifer VI, Roszak AR. "Putting the Law Into Practice: A Comparison of Isolation and Quarantine As Tools to Control Tuberculosis and Ebola." J Public Health Manag Pract. 2015 Oct 30.

Kessler J, Ruggles K, Patel A, Nucifora K, Li L, Roberts MS, et al. "Targeting an Alcohol Intervention Cost-Effectively to Persons Living with HIV/AIDS in East Africa." Alcohol Clin Exp Res. 2015 Nov;39(11):2179–88.

Khademi A, Saure DR, Schaefer AJ, Braithwaite RS, Roberts MS. "The Price of Nonabandonment: HIV in Resource-Limited Settings." Manuf Serv Oper Manag. 2015.

Klein EY, Makowsky M, Orlando M, Hatna E, Braykov NP, Laxminarayan R. "Influence of provider and urgent care density across different socioeconomic strata on outpatient antibiotic prescribing in the USA." J Antimicrob Chemother. 2015 May;70(5):1580–7.

Klein EY, Smith DL, Cohen JM, Laxminarayan R. "Bioeconomic analysis of child-targeted subsidies for artemisinin combination therapies: a cost-effectiveness analysis." J R Soc Interface. 2015 Jun 6;12(107).

Kraemer MU, Perkins TA, Cummings DAT, Zakar R, Hay SI, Smith DL, et al. "Big city, small world: density, contact rates, and transmission of dengue across Pakistan." J R Soc Interface. 2015 Oct 6;12(111).

Kumar S, Piper K, Galloway DD, Hadler JL, Grefenstette JJ. "Is population structure sufficient to generate area-level inequalities in influenza rates? An examination using agent-based models." BMC Public Health. 2015 Jan;15(1):947.

Liu F, Enanoria WTA, Zippich J, Blumberg S, Harriman K, Ackley SF, Wheaton WD, Allpress JL, Porco TC. "The role of vaccination coverage, individual behaviors, and the public health response in the control of measles epidemics: an agent-based simulation for California." BMC Public Health. 2015; 15:447. doi: 10.1186/s12889-015-1766-6.

Mertz KJ, Buchanich JM, Washington TL, Irvin-Barnwell EA, Woytowitz D V, Smith RE. "Chronic Myelogenous Leukemia in Eastern Pennsylvania: An Assessment of Registry Reporting." J Registry Manag. 2015 Jan;42(1):9–11.

Metcalf CJE, Tatem A, Bjornstad ON, Lessler J, O’Reilly K, Takahashi S, et al. "Transport networks and inequities in vaccination: remoteness shapes measles vaccine coverage and prospects for elimination across Africa." Epidemiol Infect. 2015 May;143(7):1457–66.

Mustapha MM, Marsh JW, Krauland MG, Fernandez JO, de Lemos APS, Dunning Hotopp JC, et al. "Genomic Epidemiology of Hypervirulent Serogroup W, ST-11 Neisseria meningitidis." EBioMedicine. Elsevier; 2015 Sep.

Price I, Mochan-Keef ED, Swigon D, Ermentrout GB, Lukens S, Toapanta FR, et al. "The inflammatory response to influenza A virus (H1N1): An experimental and mathematical study." J Theor Biol. 2015 Jun 7;374:83–93.

Reich NG, Cummings DAT, Lauer SA, Zorn M, Robinson C, Nyquist A-C, et al. "Triggering Interventions for Influenza: The ALERT Algorithm." Clin Infect Dis. 2015 Feb 15;60(4):499–504.

Roberts MS. "Dynamic simulation in health care comes of age." Value Health. 2015 Mar;18(2):143–4.

Rogers MB, Song T, Sebra R, Greenbaum BD, Hamelin M-E, Fitch A, et al. "Intrahost dynamics of antiviral resistance in influenza A virus reflect complex patterns of segment linkage, reassortment, and natural selection." MBio 2015 Jan;6(2).

Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Mier-y-Teran-Romero L, Ferguson N, Burke DS, Cummings DAT. "Differential efficacy of dengue vaccine by immune status." Lancet. 2015 May 2;385(9979):1726.

Rodríguez-Barraquer I, Solomon SS, Kuganantham P, Srikrishnan AK, Vasudevan CK, Iqbal SH, et al. "The Hidden Burden of Dengue and Chikungunya in Chennai, India." Kittayapong P, editor. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2015 Jul 16;9(7):e0003906.

Ruberto I, Marques E, Burke DS, Van Panhuis WG. "The availability and consistency of dengue surveillance data provided online by the World Health Organization." PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2015 May;9(4):e0003511.

Salje H, Cauchemez S, Theresa Alera M, Rodriguez-Barraquer I, Thaisomboonsuk B, Srikiatkhachorn A, et al. "Reconstruction of 60 years of chikungunya epidemiology in the Philippines demonstrates episodic and focal transmission." J Infect Dis. 2015 Sep 25.

Shrestha S, Foxman B, Berus J, van Panhuis WG, Steiner C, Viboud C, et al. "The role of influenza in the epidemiology of pneumonia." Sci Rep. 2015 Jan;5:15314.

van Panhuis WG, Choisy M, Xiong X, Chok NS, Akarasewi P, Iamsirithaworn S, et al. "Region-wide synchrony and traveling waves of dengue across eight countries in Southeast Asia." Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2015 Oct 20;112(42):13069–74.